UCV 2-1 Monagas SC Prediction

UCVUCV
2 — 1FT
Monagas SCMonagas SC

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ucv

Estimated win chances: Ucv 50%, draw 23.6%, Monagas Sc 26.3%. From 20 and 14 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.74Expected goals1.20

From 20 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–110%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 1–26.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

35Cold spellUcv
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

29Cold spellMonagas Sc
Ucv · cold formMonagas Sc · High-risk / fragile

Ucv

8W · 5D · 7L
Recent →LLLDDWDLDLWLLDWWWWWW
Momentum index

Monagas Sc

3W · 2D · 9L
Recent →LDLWLDLWWLLLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Ucv

29 pts
40% wins

8W · 5D · 7L · 20 played

For
32
Against
30
Goal diff +2

Monagas Sc

11 pts
21% wins

3W · 2D · 9L · 14 played

For
15
Against
24
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ucv offensive edge

    Ucv faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -17
  • Monagas Sc offensive edge

    Monagas Sc's attack (67%) vs Ucv's defense (50%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ucv33
Monagas Sc67

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ucv50
Monagas Sc50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ucv35
Monagas Sc29

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ucv16
Monagas Sc84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ucv30
Monagas Sc34

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ucv33
Monagas Sc67

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ucv62
Monagas Sc38
Ucvcold form
Monagas ScHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

4Ucv40%
2Draws
4Monagas Sc40%

Recent meetings