Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals0.67
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Udinese
Estimated win chances: Udinese 55.7%, draw 27%, Cesena 17.3%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
65BuildingUdinese
Weighted momentum
Udinese carries the sharper recent run (+34 momentum).
31Cold spellCesena
Udinese · compact defenseCesena · low scoring · cold form
Udinese
9W · 5D · 2LRecent →DDWWWLWWLWDWDDWW
Momentum index
Cesena
3W · 3D · 10LRecent →LLWLWWLLDLDDLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUdinese +20
Udinese
32 pts56% wins
9W · 5D · 2L · 16 played
For20
Against9
Cesena
12 pts19% wins
3W · 3D · 10L · 16 played
For8
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Udinese offensive edge
Udinese's attack (64%) vs Cesena's defense (30%).
+34 - Cesena offensive edge
Cesena runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-34
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Udinesecompact defense
Cesenalow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Udinese50%
0Draws
1Cesena50%