Goal expectancy
1.46Expected goals1.34
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Udinese 40.1%, draw 25.2%, Genoa 34.7%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.46Expected goals1.34
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played
2W · 1D · 2L · 5 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Udinese faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10Genoa's attack (54%) vs Udinese's defense (44%).
+10Comparison indices from the match data partner.