UF Santos 1-3 Matebele Prediction

UF SantosUF Santos
1 — 3FT
MatebeleMatebele
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Uf SantosUf SantosvsMatebeleMatebele

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Matebele

Estimated win chances: Uf Santos 30.2%, draw 26.1%, Matebele 43.7%. From 17 and 18 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.15Expected goals1.44

From 17 and 18 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 0–28%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

23Cold spellUf Santos
Weighted momentum

Matebele arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).

38Cold spellMatebele
Uf Santos · High-risk / fragileMatebele · cold form

Uf Santos

1W · 6D · 10L
Recent →DDWLLDLDLLLDLLDLL
Momentum index

Matebele

6W · 2D · 10L
Recent →WLWLLLLWDWLLWLDLLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Uf Santos

9 pts
6% wins

1W · 6D · 10L · 17 played

For
7
Against
37
Goal diff -30

Matebele

20 pts
33% wins

6W · 2D · 10L · 18 played

For
19
Against
27
Goal diff -8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Uf Santos offensive edge

    Uf Santos faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -17
  • Matebele offensive edge

    Matebele's attack (70%) vs Uf Santos's defense (53%).

    +17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Uf Santos30
Matebele70

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Uf Santos53
Matebele47

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Uf Santos23
Matebele38

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Uf Santos16
Matebele84

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Uf Santos45
Matebele30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Uf Santos45
Matebele55

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Uf Santos50
Matebele50
Uf SantosHigh-risk / fragile
Matebelecold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Uf Santos0%
1Draws
0Matebele0%

Recent meetings

Matebele
0 – 0FT
UF Santos

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