Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.57
From 24 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Union Comercio 2-1 Cusco Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Cusco
Estimated win chances: Union Comercio 31.6%, draw 24.7%, Cusco 43.7%. From 24 and 23 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellUnion Comercio
Weighted momentum
Cusco arrives with stronger form weighting (+34 momentum).
56BuildingCusco
Union Comercio · High-risk / fragile
Union Comercio
5W · 5D · 14LRecent →DLLLLLDDWLLDLLWDLLWLWLWL
Momentum index
Cusco
12W · 3D · 8LRecent →WLDLWWLWLWLWWWDDWLWWWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Union Comercio
20 pts21% wins
5W · 5D · 14L · 24 played
For27
Against54
Cusco
39 pts52% wins
12W · 3D · 8L · 23 played
For30
Against28
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Union Comercio offensive edge
Union Comercio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-40 - Cusco offensive edge
Cusco's attack (75%) vs Union Comercio's defense (35%).
+40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Union ComercioHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Union Comercio100%
0Draws
0Cusco0%