Goal expectancy
1.22Expected goals1.05
From 20 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Union Comercio 3-3 Minas Prediction
Balanced — model leans Union Comercio
Estimated win chances: Union Comercio 40%, draw 28.5%, Minas 31.6%. From 20 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingUnion Comercio
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
53BuildingMinas
Union Comercio · compact defenseMinas · compact defense
Union Comercio
10W · 6D · 4LRecent →LDWLWLWDDWWDWWDDLWWW
Momentum index
Minas
8W · 7D · 6LRecent →LWLWLWDWDWWWLWLLDDDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Union Comercio
36 pts50% wins
10W · 6D · 4L · 20 played
For25
Against11
Minas
31 pts38% wins
8W · 7D · 6L · 21 played
For34
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Union Comercio offensive edge
Union Comercio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-5 - Minas offensive edge
Minas's attack (50%) vs Union Comercio's defense (45%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Union Comerciocompact defense
Minascompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Union Comercio100%
0Draws
0Minas0%