Goal expectancy
1.35Expected goals1.34
From 20 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
USBM 1-4 Jeunesse Evolution Prediction
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Usbm 37.3%, draw 25.9%, Jeunesse Evolution 36.8%. From 20 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellUsbm
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
29Cold spellJeunesse Evolution
Usbm · High-risk / fragileJeunesse Evolution · cold form
Usbm
6W · 3D · 11LRecent →DDLLLLLWLLWWLLWLWWDL
Momentum index
Jeunesse Evolution
5W · 5D · 8LRecent →LLLWDLLLDDWDLWDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Usbm
21 pts30% wins
6W · 3D · 11L · 20 played
For21
Against37
Jeunesse Evolution
20 pts28% wins
5W · 5D · 8L · 18 played
For19
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Usbm offensive edge
Usbm faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Jeunesse Evolution offensive edge
Jeunesse Evolution's attack (63%) vs Usbm's defense (43%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
UsbmHigh-risk / fragile
Jeunesse Evolutioncold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Usbm50%
2Draws
2Jeunesse Evolution25%