USFA 1-1 AJEB Prediction

USFAUSFA
1 — 1FT
AJEBAJEB
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

UsfaUsfavsAjebAjeb

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Usfa

Estimated win chances: Usfa 49.1%, draw 28.6%, Ajeb 22.2%. From 9 and 10 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.31Expected goals0.78

From 9 and 10 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–016.4%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–012.5%
  • 2–010.7%
  • 0–19.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

56BuildingUsfa
Weighted momentum

Usfa carries the sharper recent run (+42 momentum).

14Cold spellAjeb
Usfa · Structured / conservativeAjeb · low scoring · cold form

Usfa

4W · 2D · 3L
Recent →WWLDLWDWL
Momentum index

Ajeb

1W · 3D · 6L
Recent →LLLLLDWLDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Usfa

14 pts
44% wins

4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played

For
9
Against
5
Goal diff +4

Ajeb

6 pts
10% wins

1W · 3D · 6L · 10 played

For
6
Against
12
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Usfa offensive edge

    Usfa's attack (67%) vs Ajeb's defense (31%).

    +36
  • Ajeb offensive edge

    Ajeb runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -36

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Usfa67
Ajeb33

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Usfa69
Ajeb31

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Usfa56
Ajeb14

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Usfa122
Ajeb-22

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Usfa30
Ajeb30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Usfa100
Ajeb0

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Usfa0
Ajeb0
UsfaStructured / conservative
Ajeblow scoring · cold form