Goal expectancy
0.69Expected goals1.12
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Douanes
Estimated win chances: Usfa 22.5%, draw 31.7%, Douanes 45.8%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
32Cold spellUsfa
Weighted momentum
Douanes arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).
73Hot streakDouanes
Usfa · Structured / conservativeDouanes · compact defense · hot form
Usfa
3W · 8D · 5LRecent →DLLWDDLDLLWDDWDD
Momentum index
Douanes
10W · 5D · 1LRecent →WDWWDDWWWDWLWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDouanes +18
Usfa
17 pts19% wins
3W · 8D · 5L · 16 played
For10
Against15
Douanes
35 pts63% wins
10W · 5D · 1L · 16 played
For24
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Usfa offensive edge
Usfa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-73 - Douanes offensive edge
Douanes's attack (73%) vs Usfa's defense (0%).
+73
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
UsfaStructured / conservative
Douanescompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Usfa60%
1Draws
1Douanes20%