Goal expectancy
1.12Expected goals0.86
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Usfa
Estimated win chances: Usfa 41.5%, draw 30.7%, Rahimo 27.8%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellUsfa
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
34Cold spellRahimo
Usfa · Structured / conservativeRahimo · low scoring · cold form
Usfa
3W · 7D · 4LRecent →LWDDLDLLWDDWDD
Momentum index
Rahimo
4W · 2D · 8LRecent →LWLDWLLLWLLDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUsfa +2
Usfa
16 pts21% wins
3W · 7D · 4L · 14 played
For8
Against12
Rahimo
14 pts29% wins
4W · 2D · 8L · 14 played
For10
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Usfa offensive edge
Usfa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Rahimo offensive edge
Rahimo's attack (60%) vs Usfa's defense (50%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
UsfaStructured / conservative
Rahimolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Usfa25%
0Draws
3Rahimo75%