Goal expectancy
0.90Expected goals1.02
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Sonabel
Estimated win chances: Usfa 31%, draw 31.5%, Sonabel 37.4%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellUsfa
Weighted momentum
Sonabel arrives with stronger form weighting (+32 momentum).
63BuildingSonabel
Usfa · Structured / conservativeSonabel · compact defense
Usfa
2W · 5D · 3LRecent →LDLLWDDWDD
Momentum index
Sonabel
6W · 2D · 2LRecent →LWWWLDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSonabel +9
Usfa
11 pts20% wins
2W · 5D · 3L · 10 played
For6
Against9
Sonabel
20 pts60% wins
6W · 2D · 2L · 10 played
For11
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Usfa offensive edge
Usfa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-42 - Sonabel offensive edge
Sonabel's attack (75%) vs Usfa's defense (33%).
+42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
UsfaStructured / conservative
Sonabelcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Usfa0%
2Draws
1Sonabel33%