Uster 2-1 Arbon Prediction

UsterUster
2 — 1FT
ArbonArbon

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Uster

Estimated win chances: Uster 45.4%, draw 22.5%, Arbon 32.1%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.84Expected goals1.52

From 22 and 22 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–06.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

31Cold spellUster
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

38Cold spellArbon
Uster · High-risk / fragileArbon · High-risk / fragile

Uster

5W · 7D · 10L
Recent →LLWLDLLDLDWWDDLWLDWLDL
Momentum index

Arbon

7W · 5D · 10L
Recent →LDDWDDWLLLWLLWWLLLDWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapArbon +4

Uster

22 pts
23% wins

5W · 7D · 10L · 22 played

For
33
Against
40
Goal diff -7

Arbon

26 pts
32% wins

7W · 5D · 10L · 22 played

For
38
Against
44
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Uster offensive edge

    Uster faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -14
  • Arbon offensive edge

    Arbon's attack (63%) vs Uster's defense (48%).

    +15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Uster38
Arbon63

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Uster48
Arbon52

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Uster31
Arbon38

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Uster22
Arbon80

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Uster37
Arbon41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Uster40
Arbon60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Uster0
Arbon100
UsterHigh-risk / fragile
ArbonHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Uster100%
0Draws
0Arbon0%

Recent meetings