Goal expectancy
1.85Expected goals0.96
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Utrera
Estimated win chances: Utrera 58.3%, draw 22.5%, Cabecense 19.2%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedUtrera
Weighted momentum
Utrera carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).
18Cold spellCabecense
Cabecense · High-risk / fragile
Utrera
11W · 6D · 8LRecent →LLDWDLWWDWDDLWWWLLDWLWLWW
Momentum index
Cabecense
4W · 5D · 16LRecent →LLLLLLDLLWDDLLDLWLWLDLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapUtrera +22
Utrera
39 pts44% wins
11W · 6D · 8L · 25 played
For39
Against32
Cabecense
17 pts16% wins
4W · 5D · 16L · 25 played
For17
Against47
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Utrera offensive edge
Utrera's attack (75%) vs Cabecense's defense (40%).
+35 - Cabecense offensive edge
Cabecense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
CabecenseHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Utrera67%
0Draws
1Cabecense33%