Goal expectancy
0.80Expected goals1.08
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Cuarte
Estimated win chances: Utrillas 26.7%, draw 31.6%, Cuarte 41.7%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellUtrillas
Weighted momentum
Cuarte arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
78Hot streakCuarte
Utrillas · low scoring · cold formCuarte · compact defense · hot form
Utrillas
2W · 11D · 5LRecent →WDWDDLDDDLDLDDLDLD
Momentum index
Cuarte
11W · 7D · 0LRecent →WWWWDWDDWWWDDWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapCuarte +23
Utrillas
17 pts11% wins
2W · 11D · 5L · 18 played
For16
Against22
Cuarte
40 pts61% wins
11W · 7D · 0L · 18 played
For20
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Utrillas offensive edge
Utrillas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-14 - Cuarte offensive edge
Cuarte's attack (64%) vs Utrillas's defense (50%).
+14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Utrillaslow scoring · cold form
Cuartecompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Utrillas71%
2Draws
0Cuarte0%