Vard 6-2 Varegg Prediction

VardVard
6 — 2FT
VareggVaregg

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Vard

Estimated win chances: Vard 58.6%, draw 18.7%, Varegg 22.7%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.49Expected goals1.53

From 25 and 25 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 1–17.8%
  • 2–27.4%
  • 2–06.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

65BuildingVard
Weighted momentum

Vard carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).

42MixedVaregg
Vard · leaky defenseVaregg · leaky defense

Vard

14W · 5D · 6L
Recent →WWWWWWWDLLLLDDLWWWDWLWWWD
Momentum index

Varegg

7W · 5D · 13L
Recent →WLLWWDWDLLLWWLDDLLLLDLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapVard +21

Vard

47 pts
56% wins

14W · 5D · 6L · 25 played

For
69
Against
45
Goal diff +24

Varegg

26 pts
28% wins

7W · 5D · 13L · 25 played

For
42
Against
52
Goal diff -10

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Vard offensive edge

    Vard's attack (57%) vs Varegg's defense (37%).

    +20
  • Varegg offensive edge

    Varegg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -20

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Vard57
Varegg43

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Vard63
Varegg37

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Vard65
Varegg42

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Vard90
Varegg10

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Vard37
Varegg43

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Vard63
Varegg38

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Vard50
Varegg50
Vardleaky defense
Vareggleaky defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Vard0%
1Draws
0Varegg0%

Recent meetings