Goal expectancy
2.09Expected goals1.10
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Varde
Estimated win chances: Varde 60.1%, draw 20.6%, B 1913 19.3%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
65BuildingVarde
Weighted momentum
Varde carries the sharper recent run (+41 momentum).
24Cold spellB 1913
B 1913 · High-risk / fragile
Varde
6W · 4D · 1LRecent →DDWDWWWWLDW
Momentum index
B 1913
2W · 1D · 8LRecent →WLDLLLLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVarde +15
Varde
22 pts55% wins
6W · 4D · 1L · 11 played
For23
Against12
B 1913
7 pts18% wins
2W · 1D · 8L · 11 played
For13
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Varde offensive edge
Varde's attack (53%) vs B 1913's defense (33%).
+20 - B 1913 offensive edge
B 1913 runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
B 1913High-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Varde20%
2Draws
2B 191340%