Varde 2-1 Dalum Prediction

VardeVarde
2 — 1FT
DalumDalum

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Varde

Estimated win chances: Varde 39.3%, draw 26.5%, Dalum 34.1%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.34Expected goals1.23

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

11Cold spellVarde
Weighted momentum

Dalum arrives with stronger form weighting (+28 momentum).

39Cold spellDalum
Varde · High-risk / fragileDalum · low scoring · cold form

Varde

0W · 1D · 2L
Recent →LDL
Momentum index

Dalum

1W · 1D · 1L
Recent →DLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapDalum +3

Varde

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played

For
2
Against
6
Goal diff -4

Dalum

4 pts
33% wins

1W · 1D · 1L · 3 played

For
2
Against
4
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Varde offensive edge

    Varde faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -10
  • Dalum offensive edge

    Dalum's attack (50%) vs Varde's defense (40%).

    +10

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Varde50
Dalum50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Varde40
Dalum60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Varde11
Dalum39

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Varde30
Dalum70

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Varde41
Dalum30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Varde20
Dalum80

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Varde0
Dalum0
VardeHigh-risk / fragile
Dalumlow scoring · cold form