Vasco DA Gama 1-1 Fluminense Prediction

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1 — 1FT
FluminenseFluminense
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Vasco Da GamaVasco Da GamavsFluminenseFluminense

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Vasco Da Gama

Estimated win chances: Vasco Da Gama 44.4%, draw 26.2%, Fluminense 29.4%. From 17 and 16 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.44Expected goals1.12

From 17 and 16 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 2–08.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

68Hot streakVasco Da Gama
Weighted momentum

Vasco Da Gama carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).

51MixedFluminense
Vasco Da Gama · hot form

Vasco Da Gama

10W · 3D · 4L
Recent →WWLWWDWWWLLWDDLWW
Momentum index

Fluminense

8W · 0D · 8L
Recent →WLLWWLWLLWWLLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Vasco Da Gama

33 pts
59% wins

10W · 3D · 4L · 17 played

For
25
Against
20
Goal diff +5

Fluminense

24 pts
50% wins

8W · 0D · 8L · 16 played

For
19
Against
17
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Vasco Da Gama offensive edge

    Vasco Da Gama faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -3
  • Fluminense offensive edge

    Fluminense's attack (59%) vs Vasco Da Gama's defense (56%).

    +3

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Vasco Da Gama41
Fluminense59

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Vasco Da Gama56
Fluminense44

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Vasco Da Gama68
Fluminense51

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Vasco Da Gama44
Fluminense56

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Vasco Da Gama30
Fluminense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Vasco Da Gama57
Fluminense43

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Vasco Da Gama20
Fluminense80
Vasco Da Gamahot form