Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Fluminense

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
3 — 2FT
FluminenseFluminense
ScoreVasco DA Gama 3-2 FluminenseRound7VenueEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)

Key events

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FluminenseFluminense
  1. A. Canobbio
  2. Hércules
  3. N. Moreira
  4. C. Spinelli
  5. T. Mendes
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
FT 3–2

Predictions & odds

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Model outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.

Estimated outcome

Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model

  • Vasco DA Gama36.6%
  • Draw25.4%
  • Fluminense38%

Venue

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)
Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro · Brazil
Address
Rua Professor Eurico Rabelo, Maracanã
Surface
grass
Capacity
78838

Match

R. Claus
Round 7
Referee
R. Claus
Round
7
Date

Competition

Serie A logo
League · Brazil
Country
Brazil (BR)
Season
2026
Dates
2026-01-28 → 2026-12-02

Match statistics

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Vasco DA Gama created the clearer chances on xG (0.99 vs 0.73, Δ 0.26). Vasco DA Gama fired more attempts (16 vs 14 shots).

Vasco DA Gama outperformed their xG by 2.0 goals (3 scored vs 0.99 xG). Fluminense outperformed their xG by 1.3 goals (2 scored vs 0.73 xG).

Key metrics

Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.

Possession

52%52%48%48%

Expected goals (xG)

0.9958%0.7342%

Total shots

1653%1447%

Shots on target

655%545%

Team form & competition

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Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama VAS
Vasco DA Gama
Home
LWLDW
  • #13 Position
  • 41 Points
  • 11-8-14 W-D-L
  • 43/50 Goals F/A

Vasco DA Gama are 13th in Serie A with 41 points (11W, 8D, 14L), scoring 43 and conceding 50.

Best wins
5-0 / 1-2
Worst defeats
1-4 / 4-1
FluminenseFluminense FLU
Fluminense
Away
WLLLW
  • #4 Position
  • 54 Points
  • 15-9-9 W-D-L
  • 52/42 Goals F/A

Fluminense are 4th in Serie A with 54 points (15W, 9D, 9L), scoring 52 and conceding 42.

Best wins
4-0 / 1-3
Worst defeats
1-2 / 3-1

Head to head

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5Vasco DA Gamawins
6Drawsmatches
9Fluminensewins

Recorded meetings: 20 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).

Highest scoring
Vasco DA Gama 4–2 Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama most goals
Vasco DA Gama 4–2 Fluminense
Fluminense most goals
Fluminense 2–1 Vasco DA Gama

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