Goal expectancy
1.03Expected goals1.41
From 23 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Laredo
Estimated win chances: Velarde 27.5%, draw 26.8%, Laredo 45.7%. From 23 and 23 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
22Cold spellVelarde
Weighted momentum
Laredo arrives with stronger form weighting (+34 momentum).
56BuildingLaredo
Velarde · low scoring · cold formLaredo · compact defense
Velarde
2W · 9D · 12LRecent →DDLDWLLDLDLLLDLLLWLLDDD
Momentum index
Laredo
13W · 3D · 7LRecent →WLWLWWLWDWDLLLLWWDWWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLaredo +27
Velarde
15 pts9% wins
2W · 9D · 12L · 23 played
For23
Against37
Laredo
42 pts57% wins
13W · 3D · 7L · 23 played
For36
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Velarde offensive edge
Velarde faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Laredo offensive edge
Laredo's attack (33%) vs Velarde's defense (22%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Velardelow scoring · cold form
Laredocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Velarde100%
0Draws
0Laredo0%