Goal expectancy
1.10Expected goals1.64
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Laredo
Estimated win chances: Velarde 25.5%, draw 24.5%, Laredo 49.9%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
13Cold spellVelarde
Weighted momentum
Laredo arrives with stronger form weighting (+49 momentum).
62BuildingLaredo
Velarde · High-risk / fragileLaredo · compact defense
Velarde
1W · 2D · 6LRecent →LDLLLLLWD
Momentum index
Laredo
6W · 0D · 3LRecent →LLWWWWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLaredo +13
Velarde
5 pts11% wins
1W · 2D · 6L · 9 played
For6
Against18
Laredo
18 pts67% wins
6W · 0D · 3L · 9 played
For19
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Velarde offensive edge
Velarde faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-42 - Laredo offensive edge
Laredo's attack (77%) vs Velarde's defense (35%).
+42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
VelardeHigh-risk / fragile
Laredocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Velarde50%
0Draws
1Laredo50%