Goal expectancy
1.27Expected goals1.09
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Versailles 2-1 Caen Prediction
Balanced — model leans Versailles
Estimated win chances: Versailles 40.5%, draw 27.8%, Caen 31.7%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedVersailles
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedCaen
Caen · compact defense
Versailles
8W · 3D · 6LRecent →WLLLWDLLDWWLDWWWW
Momentum index
Caen
4W · 10D · 3LRecent →DDDWDDDLWLDDDWLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVersailles +5
Versailles
27 pts47% wins
8W · 3D · 6L · 17 played
For22
Against20
Caen
22 pts24% wins
4W · 10D · 3L · 17 played
For18
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Versailles offensive edge
Versailles faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-13 - Caen offensive edge
Caen's attack (42%) vs Versailles's defense (29%).
+13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Caencompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Versailles0%
1Draws
1Caen50%