Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.62
From 30 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Vida 2-3 CD Marathon Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Cd Marathon
Estimated win chances: Vida 31.7%, draw 24.2%, Cd Marathon 44.1%. From 30 and 31 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellVida
Weighted momentum
Cd Marathon arrives with stronger form weighting (+26 momentum).
57BuildingCd Marathon
Vida · High-risk / fragile
Vida
8W · 5D · 17LRecent →LWLLWLLWLLLLDLWLLLDDWDWWLWDLLL
Momentum index
Cd Marathon
16W · 4D · 11LRecent →LWLWLWLWWDWDLWLWWWWWDLWLWLDWLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Vida
29 pts27% wins
8W · 5D · 17L · 30 played
For36
Against65
Cd Marathon
52 pts52% wins
16W · 4D · 11L · 31 played
For48
Against36
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vida offensive edge
Vida faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Cd Marathon offensive edge
Cd Marathon's attack (50%) vs Vida's defense (40%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
VidaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Vida33%
5Draws
1Cd Marathon11%