Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals1.13
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Vigasio
Estimated win chances: Vigasio 43.4%, draw 26.4%, Clodiense 30.2%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellVigasio
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
42MixedClodiense
Vigasio · cold form
Vigasio
3W · 7D · 3LRecent →DDLDLDWDDDWLW
Momentum index
Clodiense
4W · 5D · 4LRecent →DDWDLWLDLLWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapClodiense +1
Vigasio
16 pts23% wins
3W · 7D · 3L · 13 played
For19
Against17
Clodiense
17 pts31% wins
4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played
For14
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vigasio offensive edge
Vigasio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-18 - Clodiense offensive edge
Clodiense's attack (43%) vs Vigasio's defense (25%).
+18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Vigasiocold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Vigasio0%
1Draws
1Clodiense50%