Goal expectancy
1.18Expected goals1.33
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Treviso
Estimated win chances: Vigasio 33%, draw 26.8%, Treviso 40.1%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedVigasio
Weighted momentum
Treviso arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).
85Hot streakTreviso
Treviso · compact defense · hot form
Vigasio
5W · 9D · 4LRecent →DWWDLDDLDLDWDDDWLW
Momentum index
Treviso
15W · 1D · 2LRecent →WWWWLWWWWWLWWDWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTreviso +22
Vigasio
24 pts28% wins
5W · 9D · 4L · 18 played
For28
Against21
Treviso
46 pts83% wins
15W · 1D · 2L · 18 played
For32
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vigasio offensive edge
Vigasio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-22 - Treviso offensive edge
Treviso's attack (55%) vs Vigasio's defense (33%).
+22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Trevisocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Vigasio100%
0Draws
0Treviso0%