Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.30
From 23 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Vimy
Estimated win chances: Vimy 41.7%, draw 25.2%, Drancy 33.1%. From 23 and 24 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedVimy
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedDrancy
Vimy
8W · 6D · 9LRecent →LDWLWWWDWLWLDWLLLDLLDWD
Momentum index
Drancy
9W · 5D · 10LRecent →WLLLDWDWLWLDLLLLWDWWWWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Vimy
30 pts35% wins
8W · 6D · 9L · 23 played
For30
Against30
Drancy
32 pts38% wins
9W · 5D · 10L · 24 played
For39
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vimy offensive edge
Vimy's attack (67%) vs Drancy's defense (46%).
+21 - Drancy offensive edge
Drancy runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Vimy40%
2Draws
1Drancy20%