Vitoria Setubal 2-4 Maritimo Prediction

Vitoria SetubalVitoria Setubal
2 — 4FT
MaritimoMaritimo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Vitoria SetubalVitoria SetubalvsMaritimoMaritimo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Vitoria Setubal 35.4%, draw 29.7%, Maritimo 34.9%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.07Expected goals1.06

From 15 and 15 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.6%
  • 1–012.8%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 0–012%
  • 2–17.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

32Cold spellVitoria Setubal
Weighted momentum

Maritimo arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).

43MixedMaritimo
Vitoria Setubal · low scoring · cold formMaritimo · Structured / conservative

Vitoria Setubal

4W · 4D · 7L
Recent →WLLLLDLWLWDDLDW
Momentum index

Maritimo

3W · 7D · 5L
Recent →LDWWDDDWDLDDLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLevel on points

Vitoria Setubal

16 pts
27% wins

4W · 4D · 7L · 15 played

For
12
Against
20
Goal diff -8

Maritimo

16 pts
20% wins

3W · 7D · 5L · 15 played

For
14
Against
14
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Vitoria Setubal offensive edge

    Vitoria Setubal faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -29
  • Maritimo offensive edge

    Maritimo's attack (69%) vs Vitoria Setubal's defense (40%).

    +29

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Vitoria Setubal31
Maritimo69

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Vitoria Setubal40
Maritimo60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Vitoria Setubal32
Maritimo43

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Vitoria Setubal-8
Maritimo108

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Vitoria Setubal30
Maritimo30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Vitoria Setubal27
Maritimo73

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Vitoria Setubal100
Maritimo0
Vitoria Setuballow scoring · cold form
MaritimoStructured / conservative