Vitoria 1-1 Ceara Prediction

VitoriaVitoria
1 — 1FT
CearaCeara
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

VitoriaVitoriavsCearaCeara

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Vitoria

Estimated win chances: Vitoria 48.5%, draw 24.6%, Ceara 26.9%. From 37 and 37 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.63Expected goals1.15

From 37 and 37 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–17.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

56BuildingVitoria
Weighted momentum

Vitoria carries the sharper recent run (+19 momentum).

37Cold spellCeara
Ceara · cold form

Vitoria

21W · 7D · 9L
Recent →DLWLLWLWLWLWDWDDDWWWWWLDWWWWWWLWWDWLW
Momentum index

Ceara

12W · 10D · 15L
Recent →LLDLLLLLWLDLWWWDDWLWWWLDLWDDDWWDWLDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapVitoria +24

Vitoria

70 pts
57% wins

21W · 7D · 9L · 37 played

For
58
Against
42
Goal diff +16

Ceara

46 pts
32% wins

12W · 10D · 15L · 37 played

For
50
Against
51
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Vitoria offensive edge

    Vitoria's attack (75%) vs Ceara's defense (60%).

    +15
  • Ceara offensive edge

    Ceara runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Vitoria75
Ceara25

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Vitoria40
Ceara60

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Vitoria56
Ceara37

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Vitoria80
Ceara20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Vitoria30
Ceara30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Vitoria80
Ceara20

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Vitoria50
Ceara50
Cearacold form