Goal expectancy
2.19Expected goals1.19
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Vjs
Estimated win chances: Vjs 60.1%, draw 20%, Tpv 19.9%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellVjs
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
28Cold spellTpv
Vjs · cold formTpv · High-risk / fragile
Vjs
1W · 2D · 1LRecent →LDDW
Momentum index
Tpv
1W · 0D · 3LRecent →LWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVjs +2
Vjs
5 pts25% wins
1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played
For7
Against6
Tpv
3 pts25% wins
1W · 0D · 3L · 4 played
For4
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vjs offensive edge
Vjs's attack (64%) vs Tpv's defense (29%).
+35 - Tpv offensive edge
Tpv runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-35
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Vjscold form
TpvHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Vjs25%
1Draws
2Tpv50%