Goal expectancy
1.82Expected goals1.07
From 10 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Vjs
Estimated win chances: Vjs 54.9%, draw 22.9%, Tpv 22.1%. From 10 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedVjs
Weighted momentum
Vjs carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).
18Cold spellTpv
Tpv · High-risk / fragile
Vjs
3W · 4D · 3LRecent →LDDWWDWDLL
Momentum index
Tpv
1W · 4D · 6LRecent →DDLLDLLLLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Vjs
13 pts30% wins
3W · 4D · 3L · 10 played
For17
Against12
Tpv
7 pts9% wins
1W · 4D · 6L · 11 played
For11
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vjs offensive edge
Vjs's attack (61%) vs Tpv's defense (37%).
+24 - Tpv offensive edge
Tpv runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-24
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
TpvHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Vjs33%
2Draws
2Tpv33%