Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.31
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Vogherese
Estimated win chances: Vogherese 40.2%, draw 25.5%, Asti 34.3%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
5Cold spellVogherese
Weighted momentum
Asti arrives with stronger form weighting (+34 momentum).
39Cold spellAsti
Vogherese · High-risk / fragileAsti · cold form
Vogherese
0W · 1D · 3LRecent →LLLD
Momentum index
Asti
1W · 2D · 1LRecent →DLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAsti +4
Vogherese
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 3L · 4 played
For4
Against7
Asti
5 pts25% wins
1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played
For5
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vogherese offensive edge
Vogherese faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-10 - Asti offensive edge
Asti's attack (56%) vs Vogherese's defense (46%).
+10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
VoghereseHigh-risk / fragile
Asticold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Vogherese0%
1Draws
1Asti50%