Goal expectancy
1.48Expected goals0.95
From 32 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Vogherese
Estimated win chances: Vogherese 49.5%, draw 26.3%, Chieri 24.2%. From 32 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellVogherese
Weighted momentum
Vogherese carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
27Cold spellChieri
Vogherese · low scoring · cold formChieri · High-risk / fragile
Vogherese
8W · 11D · 13LRecent →WDDDDWLDLDLDLDLWLWLWDLLDWWWLLLLD
Momentum index
Chieri
5W · 7D · 19LRecent →WDDLLWLLLDWLLDDLLWLDLLLLLLLLDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Vogherese
35 pts25% wins
8W · 11D · 13L · 32 played
For31
Against39
Chieri
22 pts16% wins
5W · 7D · 19L · 31 played
For26
Against54
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vogherese offensive edge
Vogherese's attack (44%) vs Chieri's defense (38%).
+6 - Chieri offensive edge
Chieri runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Voghereselow scoring · cold form
ChieriHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Vogherese67%
1Draws
0Chieri0%