Goal expectancy
1.63Expected goals1.08
From 5 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Vsetín
Estimated win chances: Vsetín 50.2%, draw 24.6%, Šternberk 25.2%. From 5 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
76Hot streakVsetín
Weighted momentum
Vsetín carries the sharper recent run (+43 momentum).
33Cold spellŠternberk
Vsetín · hot formŠternberk · low scoring · cold form
Vsetín
4W · 0D · 1LRecent →WLWWW
Momentum index
Šternberk
1W · 1D · 2LRecent →DLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Vsetín
12 pts80% wins
4W · 0D · 1L · 5 played
For11
Against6
Šternberk
4 pts25% wins
1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played
For3
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vsetín offensive edge
Vsetín's attack (79%) vs Šternberk's defense (60%).
+19 - Šternberk offensive edge
Šternberk runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Vsetínhot form
Šternberklow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Vsetín25%
2Draws
1Šternberk25%