Goal expectancy
1.67Expected goals1.42
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Vvsb
Estimated win chances: Vvsb 43.6%, draw 23.7%, Stedoco 32.7%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
47MixedVvsb
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedStedoco
Vvsb · leaky defense
Vvsb
11W · 5D · 9LRecent →DWLDWLLWLLDWLDDWWWWLWWLLW
Momentum index
Stedoco
8W · 7D · 10LRecent →DDDLDWDLWLLWLWWDLLWLWWLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVvsb +7
Vvsb
38 pts44% wins
11W · 5D · 9L · 25 played
For42
Against46
Stedoco
31 pts32% wins
8W · 7D · 10L · 25 played
For35
Against34
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Vvsb offensive edge
Vvsb's attack (67%) vs Stedoco's defense (65%).
+2 - Stedoco offensive edge
Stedoco runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Vvsbleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Vvsb40%
2Draws
1Stedoco20%