Goal expectancy
1.60Expected goals1.68
From 11 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: W Connection 36.8%, draw 23.1%, Defence Force 40.1%. From 11 and 12 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.60Expected goals1.68
From 11 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Defence Force arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played
9W · 2D · 1L · 12 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
W Connection faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19Defence Force's attack (69%) vs W Connection's defense (50%).
+19Comparison indices from the match data partner.