Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.20
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Sporting Prediction
Balanced — model leans Wanderers
Estimated win chances: Wanderers 41%, draw 26.4%, Defensor Sporting 32.6%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellWanderers
Weighted momentum
Defensor Sporting arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
54BuildingDefensor Sporting
Wanderers · cold form
Wanderers
3W · 2D · 4LRecent →LDLLDWLWW
Momentum index
Defensor Sporting
3W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWLDWDLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDefensor Sporting +1
Wanderers
11 pts33% wins
3W · 2D · 4L · 9 played
For11
Against12
Defensor Sporting
12 pts33% wins
3W · 3D · 3L · 9 played
For12
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Wanderers offensive edge
Wanderers faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-21 - Defensor Sporting offensive edge
Defensor Sporting's attack (57%) vs Wanderers's defense (36%).
+21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Wandererscold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Wanderers50%
2Draws
0Defensor Sporting0%