Wanderers 3-0 Racing Montevideo Prediction

WanderersWanderers
3 — 0FT
Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

WanderersWanderersvsRacing MontevideoRacing Montevideo

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Wanderers

Estimated win chances: Wanderers 46.7%, draw 23.5%, Racing Montevideo 29.8%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.73Expected goals1.34

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–07.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

47MixedWanderers
Weighted momentum

Wanderers carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).

29Cold spellRacing Montevideo
Wanderers · leaky defenseRacing Montevideo · High-risk / fragile

Wanderers

1W · 3D · 1L
Recent →WDDLD
Momentum index

Racing Montevideo

1W · 1D · 3L
Recent →LWLDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapWanderers +2

Wanderers

6 pts
20% wins

1W · 3D · 1L · 5 played

For
8
Against
9
Goal diff -1

Racing Montevideo

4 pts
20% wins

1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played

For
7
Against
10
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Wanderers offensive edge

    Wanderers's attack (53%) vs Racing Montevideo's defense (47%).

    +6
  • Racing Montevideo offensive edge

    Racing Montevideo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -6

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Wanderers53
Racing Montevideo47

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Wanderers53
Racing Montevideo47

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Wanderers47
Racing Montevideo29

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Wanderers62
Racing Montevideo38

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Wanderers37
Racing Montevideo41

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Wanderers60
Racing Montevideo40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Wanderers0
Racing Montevideo0
Wanderersleaky defense
Racing MontevideoHigh-risk / fragile