Watford 2-0 Birmingham
Key events
View all
Birmingham- L. Buchanan
- M. Rajović
- R. Andrews
WatfordFT 2–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Watford39.5%
- Draw27.3%
- Birmingham33.2%
Venue
Vicarage Road
Watford · England
- Address
- Vicarage Road
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 22200
Match
K. Stroud
Round 6
- Referee
- K. Stroud
- Round
- 6
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2023
- Dates
- 2023-08-04 → 2024-05-26
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
68%68%32%32%
Expected goals (xG)
0.4133%0.8567%
Total shots
1260%840%
Shots on target
457%343%
Team form & competition
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- #15 Position
- 56 Points
- 13-17-16 W-D-L
- 61/61 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 5-0 / 1-5
- Worst defeats
- 1-4 / 3-0
- #22 Position
- 50 Points
- 13-11-22 W-D-L
- 50/65 Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-1 / 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 1-3 / 3-0
Head to head
View all4Watfordwins
2Drawsmatches
1Birminghamwins
Recorded meetings: 7 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Watford 2–2 Birmingham
- Watford most goals
- Watford 3–0 Birmingham
- Birmingham most goals
- Birmingham 2–1 Watford
Match headlines
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Headlines link to a short summary; the full story is on the original publisher’s site.
Birmingham created the clearer chances on xG (0.41 vs 0.85, Δ 0.44). Watford fired more attempts (12 vs 8 shots). Watford held more of the ball (68% possession).
Watford outperformed their xG by 1.6 goals (2 scored vs 0.41 xG). Birmingham underperformed their xG by 0.8 goals (0 scored vs 0.85 xG).