Goal expectancy
1.09Expected goals0.93
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Wathba
Estimated win chances: Wathba 38.9%, draw 30.5%, Jaish 30.6%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedWathba
Weighted momentum
Jaish arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
56BuildingJaish
Wathba · Structured / conservativeJaish · Structured / conservative
Wathba
4W · 5D · 4LRecent →DDWLLLLWDWWDD
Momentum index
Jaish
5W · 4D · 4LRecent →WDWWLLWDWLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJaish +2
Wathba
17 pts31% wins
4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played
For12
Against10
Jaish
19 pts38% wins
5W · 4D · 4L · 13 played
For13
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Wathba offensive edge
Wathba faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-28 - Jaish offensive edge
Jaish's attack (57%) vs Wathba's defense (29%).
+28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
WathbaStructured / conservative
JaishStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Wathba29%
0Draws
5Jaish71%