Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.17
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
West Brom 0-1 Birmingham Prediction
Balanced — model leans West Brom
Estimated win chances: West Brom 44.6%, draw 25.7%, Birmingham 29.8%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
52BuildingWest Brom
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
46MixedBirmingham
West Brom
4W · 2D · 2LRecent →LDWWDLWW
Momentum index
Birmingham
2W · 5D · 1LRecent →DWLDDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapWest Brom +3
West Brom
14 pts50% wins
4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played
For10
Against8
Birmingham
11 pts25% wins
2W · 5D · 1L · 8 played
For12
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- West Brom offensive edge
West Brom's attack (33%) vs Birmingham's defense (27%).
+6 - Birmingham offensive edge
Birmingham runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6West Brom60%
2Draws
2Birmingham20%