Goal expectancy
2.26Expected goals1.12
From 18 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Widnau
Estimated win chances: Widnau 63%, draw 19.3%, Bazenheid 17.7%. From 18 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
77Hot streakWidnau
Weighted momentum
Widnau carries the sharper recent run (+46 momentum).
31Cold spellBazenheid
Widnau · hot formBazenheid · High-risk / fragile
Widnau
13W · 1D · 4LRecent →WWLWWWWWWLWLWDWLWW
Momentum index
Bazenheid
3W · 5D · 9LRecent →DLLWDDLWLDLDWLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Widnau
40 pts72% wins
13W · 1D · 4L · 18 played
For41
Against23
Bazenheid
14 pts18% wins
3W · 5D · 9L · 17 played
For19
Against37
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Widnau offensive edge
Widnau's attack (58%) vs Bazenheid's defense (35%).
+23 - Bazenheid offensive edge
Bazenheid runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Widnauhot form
BazenheidHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Widnau50%
1Draws
3Bazenheid38%