Willem II 2-4 PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Willem IIWillem II
2 — 4FT
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Willem IiWillem IivsPsv EindhovenPsv Eindhoven

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Psv Eindhoven

Estimated win chances: Willem Ii 20.9%, draw 21.6%, Psv Eindhoven 57.5%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.11Expected goals1.98

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–210.5%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–29.5%
  • 1–36.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

6Cold spellWillem Ii
Weighted momentum

Psv Eindhoven arrives with stronger form weighting (+64 momentum).

70Hot streakPsv Eindhoven
Willem Ii · High-risk / fragilePsv Eindhoven · compact defense · hot form

Willem Ii

0W · 1D · 7L
Recent →DLLLLLLL
Momentum index

Psv Eindhoven

5W · 3D · 0L
Recent →WDDWDWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapPsv Eindhoven +17

Willem Ii

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 7L · 8 played

For
6
Against
22
Goal diff -16

Psv Eindhoven

18 pts
63% wins

5W · 3D · 0L · 8 played

For
21
Against
6
Goal diff +15

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Willem Ii offensive edge

    Willem Ii faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -48
  • Psv Eindhoven offensive edge

    Psv Eindhoven's attack (75%) vs Willem Ii's defense (27%).

    +48

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Willem Ii25
Psv Eindhoven75

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Willem Ii27
Psv Eindhoven73

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Willem Ii6
Psv Eindhoven70

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Willem Ii-46
Psv Eindhoven146

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Willem Ii59
Psv Eindhoven30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Willem Ii10
Psv Eindhoven90

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Willem Ii0
Psv Eindhoven0
Willem IiHigh-risk / fragile
Psv Eindhovencompact defense · hot form