Wolves 3-2 Middlesbrough Prediction

WolvesWolves
3 — 2FT
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

WolvesWolvesvsMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Wolves

Estimated win chances: Wolves 42.4%, draw 25.3%, Middlesbrough 32.3%. From 38 and 38 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.49Expected goals1.27

From 38 and 38 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–27.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

33Cold spellWolves
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

40MixedMiddlesbrough
Wolves · cold form

Wolves

11W · 9D · 18L
Recent →WLWDLLDDLLDDLLLWLWWLLLDLLDDLWLWWWWLDWL
Momentum index

Middlesbrough

17W · 3D · 18L
Recent →LLLWLDLWLLLLLWWLWWLWLLWDWWWWWDLWLWLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMiddlesbrough +12

Wolves

42 pts
29% wins

11W · 9D · 18L · 38 played

For
45
Against
54
Goal diff -9

Middlesbrough

54 pts
45% wins

17W · 3D · 18L · 38 played

For
55
Against
58
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Wolves offensive edge

    Wolves's attack (64%) vs Middlesbrough's defense (47%).

    +17
  • Middlesbrough offensive edge

    Middlesbrough runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Wolves64
Middlesbrough36

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Wolves53
Middlesbrough47

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Wolves33
Middlesbrough40

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Wolves84
Middlesbrough16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Wolves30
Middlesbrough30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Wolves70
Middlesbrough30

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Wolves0
Middlesbrough100
Wolvescold form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Wolves100%
0Draws
0Middlesbrough0%

Recent meetings

Middlesbrough
2 – 0FT
Wolves

ChampionshipRound 22