Wrexham 4-1 Kettering Town Prediction

WrexhamWrexham
4 — 1FT
Kettering TownKettering Town
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

WrexhamWrexhamvsKettering TownKettering Town

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Wrexham

Estimated win chances: Wrexham 68.2%, draw 19%, Kettering Town 12.8%. From 27 and 28 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.14Expected goals0.80

From 27 and 28 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–013%
  • 1–012.1%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 3–09.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

80Hot streakWrexham
Weighted momentum

Wrexham carries the sharper recent run (+58 momentum).

22Cold spellKettering Town
Wrexham · compact defense · hot formKettering Town · High-risk / fragile

Wrexham

19W · 5D · 3L
Recent →WWWWWWDWDDWWWWWLWDLLWWWWWWD
Momentum index

Kettering Town

5W · 7D · 16L
Recent →LLLDDLLLDLDLWWDLLWLLWLDLLDLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Wrexham

62 pts
70% wins

19W · 5D · 3L · 27 played

For
49
Against
17
Goal diff +32

Kettering Town

22 pts
18% wins

5W · 7D · 16L · 28 played

For
28
Against
63
Goal diff -35

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Wrexham offensive edge

    Wrexham's attack (86%) vs Kettering Town's defense (13%).

    +73
  • Kettering Town offensive edge

    Kettering Town runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -74

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Wrexham86
Kettering Town14

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Wrexham88
Kettering Town13

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Wrexham80
Kettering Town22

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Wrexham196
Kettering Town-98

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Wrexham30
Kettering Town48

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Wrexham88
Kettering Town12

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Wrexham0
Kettering Town0
Wrexhamcompact defense · hot form
Kettering TownHigh-risk / fragile