Goal expectancy
1.48Expected goals1.66
From 19 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Žalgiris II 0-1 Be1 NFA Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Be1 Nfa
Estimated win chances: Žalgiris Ii 34.3%, draw 23.6%, Be1 Nfa 42.1%. From 19 and 18 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellŽalgiris Ii
Weighted momentum
Be1 Nfa arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
54BuildingBe1 Nfa
Žalgiris Ii · High-risk / fragile
Žalgiris Ii
5W · 3D · 11LRecent →WWLLWDLWLLLLLLLWLDD
Momentum index
Be1 Nfa
8W · 3D · 7LRecent →WWWLLWDLLLWWLWWDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Žalgiris Ii
18 pts26% wins
5W · 3D · 11L · 19 played
For25
Against40
Be1 Nfa
27 pts44% wins
8W · 3D · 7L · 18 played
For32
Against25
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Žalgiris Ii offensive edge
Žalgiris Ii's attack (61%) vs Be1 Nfa's defense (57%).
+4 - Be1 Nfa offensive edge
Be1 Nfa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Žalgiris IiHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Žalgiris Ii67%
0Draws
1Be1 Nfa33%