Žalgiris II 1-1 BFA Prediction

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II
1 — 1FT
BFABFA
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Žalgiris IiŽalgiris IivsBfaBfa

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Bfa

Estimated win chances: Žalgiris Ii 36.9%, draw 21.2%, Bfa 42%. From 25 and 24 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.85Expected goals1.98

From 25 and 24 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–18.7%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–28%
  • 1–35.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

26Cold spellŽalgiris Ii
Weighted momentum

Bfa arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).

41MixedBfa
Žalgiris Ii · High-risk / fragileBfa · leaky defense

Žalgiris Ii

5W · 3D · 17L
Recent →LLWWDLLDLLLLLLWLLWWLLLDLL
Momentum index

Bfa

9W · 2D · 13L
Recent →WLDLLWLLWLWLWWWLDLWLLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Žalgiris Ii

18 pts
20% wins

5W · 3D · 17L · 25 played

For
39
Against
73
Goal diff -34

Bfa

29 pts
38% wins

9W · 2D · 13L · 24 played

For
44
Against
45
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Žalgiris Ii offensive edge

    Žalgiris Ii's attack (71%) vs Bfa's defense (50%).

    +21
  • Bfa offensive edge

    Bfa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Žalgiris Ii71
Bfa29

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Žalgiris Ii50
Bfa50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Žalgiris Ii26
Bfa41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Žalgiris Ii92
Bfa8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Žalgiris Ii61
Bfa39

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Žalgiris Ii64
Bfa36

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Žalgiris Ii0
Bfa100
Žalgiris IiHigh-risk / fragile
Bfaleaky defense