Goal expectancy
1.20Expected goals1.41
From 7 and 7 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Žalgiris II 4-1 BFA Prediction
Balanced — model leans Bfa
Estimated win chances: Žalgiris Ii 32%, draw 26.2%, Bfa 41.8%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedŽalgiris Ii
Weighted momentum
Bfa arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
89Hot streakBfa
Bfa · compact defense · hot form
Žalgiris Ii
2W · 3D · 2LRecent →DWWLLDD
Momentum index
Bfa
6W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWDWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBfa +10
Žalgiris Ii
9 pts29% wins
2W · 3D · 2L · 7 played
For10
Against10
Bfa
19 pts86% wins
6W · 1D · 0L · 7 played
For14
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Žalgiris Ii offensive edge
Žalgiris Ii faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Bfa offensive edge
Bfa's attack (61%) vs Žalgiris Ii's defense (30%).
+31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Bfacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Žalgiris Ii43%
2Draws
2Bfa29%