Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.46
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Žalgiris II 0-3 Trakai II Prediction
Balanced — model leans Trakai Ii
Estimated win chances: Žalgiris Ii 32.1%, draw 25.6%, Trakai Ii 42.2%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
13Cold spellŽalgiris Ii
Weighted momentum
Trakai Ii arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
30Cold spellTrakai Ii
Žalgiris Ii · High-risk / fragileTrakai Ii · cold form
Žalgiris Ii
1W · 2D · 6LRecent →LLLLLWLDD
Momentum index
Trakai Ii
3W · 1D · 5LRecent →LLDLWLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTrakai Ii +5
Žalgiris Ii
5 pts11% wins
1W · 2D · 6L · 9 played
For6
Against19
Trakai Ii
10 pts33% wins
3W · 1D · 5L · 9 played
For13
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Žalgiris Ii offensive edge
Žalgiris Ii faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-46 - Trakai Ii offensive edge
Trakai Ii's attack (78%) vs Žalgiris Ii's defense (32%).
+46
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Žalgiris IiHigh-risk / fragile
Trakai Iicold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Žalgiris Ii50%
2Draws
2Trakai Ii25%