Zarautz 1-1 Leioa Prediction

ZarautzZarautz
1 — 1FT
LeioaLeioa
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

ZarautzZarautzvsLeioaLeioa

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Leioa

Estimated win chances: Zarautz 27.4%, draw 26.3%, Leioa 46.3%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.05Expected goals1.45

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–112.2%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 0–28.8%
  • 1–08.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

27Cold spellZarautz
Weighted momentum

Leioa arrives with stronger form weighting (+32 momentum).

59BuildingLeioa
Zarautz · High-risk / fragileLeioa · compact defense

Zarautz

2W · 2D · 4L
Recent →LLDWLDLW
Momentum index

Leioa

4W · 1D · 3L
Recent →WWDLLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLeioa +5

Zarautz

8 pts
25% wins

2W · 2D · 4L · 8 played

For
4
Against
16
Goal diff -12

Leioa

13 pts
50% wins

4W · 1D · 3L · 8 played

For
12
Against
7
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Zarautz offensive edge

    Zarautz faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -48
  • Leioa offensive edge

    Leioa's attack (77%) vs Zarautz's defense (29%).

    +48

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Zarautz23
Leioa77

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Zarautz29
Leioa71

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Zarautz27
Leioa59

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Zarautz-46
Leioa146

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Zarautz41
Leioa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Zarautz36
Leioa64

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Zarautz0
Leioa0
ZarautzHigh-risk / fragile
Leioacompact defense