Goal expectancy
1.21Expected goals0.92
From 26 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Zhenys
Estimated win chances: Zhenys 42.7%, draw 29.3%, Atyrau 28%. From 26 and 25 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedZhenys
Weighted momentum
Zhenys carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).
27Cold spellAtyrau
Zhenys · low scoringAtyrau · low scoring · cold form
Zhenys
8W · 8D · 10LRecent →LWLLWWDLDWLDDLWLLWWDWLDDLD
Momentum index
Atyrau
4W · 11D · 10LRecent →LLWLLDDLLLLWDDDDDWLLWDDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Zhenys
32 pts31% wins
8W · 8D · 10L · 26 played
For26
Against32
Atyrau
23 pts16% wins
4W · 11D · 10L · 25 played
For18
Against28
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Zhenys offensive edge
Zhenys's attack (63%) vs Atyrau's defense (47%).
+16 - Atyrau offensive edge
Atyrau runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Zhenyslow scoring
Atyraulow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Zhenys40%
2Draws
1Atyrau20%